Cinderella Story

by Hans on May 9, 2009

It’s mid-May and we’re starting to get a better picture of how the season is going to turn out.  But some things just still don’t compute.

Brandon Inge is performing far better this season than he ever has.  And fantasy baseball fans love combining that with his dual position elibility, catcher and third base.

The underlying numbers behind his success, however, point to a quite likely return to career norms.  His Contact Rate is perfectly aligned with career statistics – 74.4% compared with a career 75.8%.  His Fly Ball percentage is perfectly aligned with career statistics – 44.3% compared with a career 42.0%. 

But somehow Inge is getting considerably more power in his swing.  Only once in his career did he post a HR/Fly Ball ratio above 10.  So far this year, Inge has posted a HR/FB ratio of  25.8%.  Never in his career has he posted an OPS over .800.  So far this year, Inge is putting up a .967 OPS. 

How is he suddenly much more powerful?  Who knows.  But as a general rule of thumb for a 32 year old – if it seems too good to be true, it is.

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05.10.09 at 9:19 pm

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