Saving The Best For Last

by Hans on October 1, 2009

Last time he faced Detroit, Chicago’s new ace Jake Peavy threw seven shutout innings, striking out eight, and taking home his second American League W. He was acquired to do so much more, but at this point all he can really offer is the role of spoiler. With Minnesota’s 8-3 win over the Tigers, the Twins are now only 2 games out of the AL Central lead with only Friday, Saturday and Sunday’s games left.

Edwin Jackson and his 94.5 mph fastball take the hill against Peavy Friday night, but Jackson’s only beaten Chicago once in 7 career starts and holds a 5.66 career ERA against them. Moreover, his second half (4.53 ERA) has paled in comparison with his breakout first half (2.52 ERA). Can Detroit rely on him to take down former Cy Young winner Jake Peavy?

On Saturday, Detroit plans to run rookie Alfredo Figaro to the mound with his 15 2/3 innings of major league experience.  The last and only time he’s ever faced the White Sox was last Saturday when he held them scoreless, albeit in only 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen. Will MoTown really feel comfortable trusting a rookie on the last weekend of a playoff run?

verlander_warms_up

So if Chicago fancies itself a solid spoiler and drops the Tigers for two in a row while the Twins down the Royals in similar fashion, Detroit’s hopes fall to one man.

This past Tuesday Justin Verlander, who has shown the American League’s fastest heater at 95.6 mph, proved his ability to perform his role as an ace under intense pressure. He threw 129 pitches over eight hard fought innings to win the second half of the doubleheader against Minnesota, saving a bullpen which had completed a 10 inning game earlier in the day and would need to throw 4 innings and 3 innings the next two nights.

Verlander’s truly blossomed this season.  He has returned to throwing first pitch strikes under the tutelage of pitching coach Rick Knapp.  His win total (18) is the highest of his career and his ERA (3.45)  is the lowest.  More importantly, he has shown that when his team needs him, he becomes the ace everyone always expected.  If the hopes of Tigers fans come down to the quality of Justin Verlander’s arm, that’s just the way they want it.

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Cleveland Renaissance

by Hans on September 21, 2009

“In case you haven’t noticed, and judging by the attendance you haven’t, the Indians have managed to win a few here and there, and are threatening to climb out of the cellar.”

Great Bob Eucker quote from Major League. But in reality, the Indians have lost their last 8 straight games, dropping 12 of their last 13. Cleveland traded away their ace Cliff Lee, handed Boston their only All-Star this year Victor Martinez, and shipped solid pieces Ben Francisco, Carl Pavano and Mark DeRosa to boot. And all this after parting ways with ace C.C. Sabathia and Casey Blake before the 2008 trading deadline. So do Chief Wahoo and his tribesmen have a reason for hope next year?

statefarmhomerunderby3zqtkhuhr7jlFor one, centerfielder Grady Sizemore (27) should be healthy next year, fully healed after elbow and abdominal surgeries. His value at the top of Cleveland’s lineup is undeniable. From 2005 to 2008, Sizemore amassed 464 Runs - a full season’s worth (107) more than the next highest player (Jhonny Peralta’s 357).

Playing next to Grady, rightfielder Shin-Soo Choo (27) will have progressed another year. Last year, Choo got more than 300 at bats for the first time in his career and delivered, hitting .309 with a .397 OBP and a .946 OPS. This year, Choo got more than 500 at bats for the first time and delivered again, hitting .300 with a .394 OBP and an .870 OPS, throwing in 19 steals for good measure.

Throw in Asdrubal Cabrera (23) at SS and Jhonny Peralta (27) at 3B and you have four experienced, talented players hitting at the top of the lineup.

Some time in 2010, super-prospects LF/1B Matt LaPorta (24) and Catcher Carlos Santana (23) - the returns for the 2008 Sabathia and Blake deals - will be ready to produce at a major league level.

On the pitching front, which usually takes longer to develop, Cleveland is stocked with plenty of talent as well. Left-hander David Huff (25) is finishing up his rookie year. While his yearly stats aren’t that phenomenal (5.98 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP), he’s finishing off September with three straight quality starts and a 2.84 ERA. As recently as 2007, right-hander Fausto Carmona (25) was a 19 game winner with a 3.06 ERA. Aaron Laffey (24) has shown flashes of competence enough to produce a 4.09 ERA. And Jake Westbrook will be returning.

But Cleveland’s also got the likes of Justin Masterson (24) who came over in the 2009 Martinez trade, Carlos Carrasco (23) and Jason Knapp (19) who came over in the Lee deal, Chris Perez (24) the jewel in the DeRosa trade, and home grown talent like Adam Miller (24), Charles Lofgren (23), and Hector Rondon (22).

With a few smart off season moves, General Manager Mark Shapiro might have Cleveland ready for another run like it did in the late 90’s.

That will really give Chief Wahoo and his tribesmen something to get excited about.

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Value Investing

September 12, 2009

Been a while since the last post at the Dugout. At the time, Boston still had the edge on the Yankees, Texas still led in the AL West, and the Mets actually had a shot at the playoffs.
Also of note, on June 21st, Adam Dunn’s average had fallen from his April .310 to [...]

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You’re Outta Here

June 21, 2009

In tonight’s Philadelphia/Baltimore game, Phillies manager Charlie Manuel argued what he felt was a blown call.  He claimed Ty Wigginton missed the tag on Jimmy Rollins.  First base umpire, Larry Vanover disagreed and ejected Manuel.
After watching the replay, it was obvious that the ejection was unwarranted.  But it made me think of the most bizarre [...]

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What the???

June 12, 2009

FANTASTIC post on Fangraphs.
For those of you who love the heater, the big cheese, old number 1, Dave Cameron’s article on who’s getting the most value out of their fastball this year is a must read. 
Love this man’s work.

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Bring The Heat

June 10, 2009

Justin Verlander just finished his second complete game of 2009 and boy did he do it in style.
The Detroit right hander finished off the heart of the White Sox order in the 9th by getting Jermaine Dye to fly out to right, striking out Jim Thome and Josh Fields.  His last pitch to Fields, his [...]

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To Start Or Not To Start

June 9, 2009

So Chicago’s 2007 first round pick and rumored candidate for a Jake Peavy trade earlier this year, Aaron Poreda, has been called up for his first cup of coffee, set to join the White Sox bullpen later this week.  Coming out of spring training, this flamethrower looked like he might even win the 5th starter [...]

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Injury Update

May 27, 2009

Stephania Bell of ESPN recently posted an updated injury blog entry.
Couple points on Jose Reyes, Carlos Quentin, and more.  Fantastic work.

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Big Mac Attacked

May 22, 2009

As if we needed another sign, excuse the pun, that the Pujols era in St. Louis had firmly supplanted the steroid-tainted McGwire era, it came dramatically last night.
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Justin Time

May 20, 2009

What a difference a year makes.  
In The Little Things, we discussed the HUGE offseason move the Tigers made this year - hiring pitching coach Rick Knapp from Minnesota’s minor league system.  Knapp came into the program with Minnesota’s simple ideology - throw strikes - and it has started to pay off.

Detroit’s ace, Justin Verlander, was [...]

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